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Tariffs Are the Noise. Realignment Is the Signal
·Global Trade and Geoeconomics

Tariffs Are the Noise. Realignment Is the Signal

Even if Trump’s tariffs disappear, the forces reshaping global trade—geopolitics, security concerns and reconfigured regional blocs—are here to stay

America’s Iran Trap Is Closing
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

America’s Iran Trap Is Closing

Carrier strike groups, nuclear deadlines and a brittle regime in Tehran are converging on a moment where Washington may discover that every move—strike, sabotage or restraint—ends in escalation

A World Without Endgames
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

A World Without Endgames

What prolonged global conflicts mean for Europe, China—and India’s narrowing strategic space.

2025 in Review | Episode 4: Europe’s Year of Hard Choices
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

2025 in Review | Episode 4: Europe’s Year of Hard Choices

Europe entered 2025 already strained by war, fractured politics, and economic anxiety. As Philippe Le Corre explains, this was the year when three pressures collided—an unending war in Ukraine, a drastically altered transatlantic dynamic under Trump 2.0, and a more openly competitive China

2025 in Review | Episode 3: America’s Year of Disruption
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

2025 in Review | Episode 3: America’s Year of Disruption

Justin Logan of the Cato Institute on how Trump’s second term reshaped global trade, defense alignments, and America’s domestic equilibrium—and why the turbulence may be far from over

2025 in Review | Episode 1: China and the Trumpian Reset
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

2025 in Review | Episode 1: China and the Trumpian Reset

How does China see the Trumpian reset of the global order? What's really happening inside its domestic economy? And are we seeing signs of a thaw with India? A conversation with Chinese economist Prof. Yao Yang

Masterclass: The World in 2025 - Part 1
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2025 - Part 1

17 takeaways on the new dynamics in geopolitics and geoeconomics, especially after Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president, the shifting sands in the Middle East with conflict and informal fragile truce, and the big decadal shifts

Briefing 2: India and the Indo-Pacific
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Briefing 2: India and the Indo-Pacific

Geopolitics, geo-economics and India’s positioning in the region. The second in a three-part series to set context for the Masterclass on Geopolitics and Global Trade

The shape of the world in the next five years
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The shape of the world in the next five years

Fires of war are burning in several parts of the world. And the US-China hegemonic rivalry is now real. But even amidst the uncertainty there are clear signals about how geo-economics and geopolitics could shape up. Part 1 in this 3-part series dives into the paradoxes that will shape supply chains and geo-economics

The multi-layered alliances shaping geopolitics
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The multi-layered alliances shaping geopolitics

Two clear blocs are emerging, one led by the US, the other by China. However, it’s not another Cold War. Part 2 in a 3-part series on the shape of the world in the next 5 years

The future of hegemony: Asymmetric cooperation
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The future of hegemony: Asymmetric cooperation

In a complexly layered world, neither the US nor China will be an absolute hegemon. The final in a 3-part series on the shape of the world in the next 5 years

Masterclass: The World in 2024
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2024

A stellar panel unpacks the primary drivers of complex change facing the world: The implications of elections in more than half the democratic world; the US-China rivalry and the economic disruptions of their mutual de-risking; assessing Global South as a tangible international entity; and more

Is India too late to the Global South party?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is India too late to the Global South party?

China may have already stolen a march with its massive financing, infra investments and deals to access natural resources and stranglehold on markets across the developing world. Yet India may still have some aces up its sleeve. The sixth and final column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

Is Africa swapping out Europe for China?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is Africa swapping out Europe for China?

The political economy calculus in Africa is changing. Any China-EU rivalry in Africa will only benefit the continent. The fifth column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

Is the US in strategic retreat in the Indian Ocean region?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is the US in strategic retreat in the Indian Ocean region?

And does China have the capability to increasingly dominate this space? The fourth column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

Does the current US-China detente signal a thawing of relations?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Does the current US-China detente signal a thawing of relations?

Neither of them wants an economic MAD (mutually assured destruction), and this is a tactical pause. This is the third column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

Masterclass: The World in 2023
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2023

A top-class panel of experts decodes the world of opportunity and risk on multiple fronts

The best stories of 2022
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The best stories of 2022

December 24, 2022: On the US-China rivalry, Russia-Ukraine war, concerns about climate change, but also hope, India and China, contrarian leaders, and more