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The System Holds, Until It Doesn’t

The System Holds, Until It Doesn’t

From the Gulf to global markets, events appear to move toward rupture and then stop short. The reason lies not in restraint, but in the invisible architecture of the system itself.

The War in Iran: The Illusion of Decisive Force

The War in Iran: The Illusion of Decisive Force

One month in, the limits of conventional military power are being laid bare. As a “dual chokehold” on global energy flows emerges, the old security umbrella of the Gulf states is being dismantled. It is forcing a permanent re-pricing of both regional and global risk.

How Iran Is Turning the Global Economy Into a Battlefield

How Iran Is Turning the Global Economy Into a Battlefield

As the conflict with the United States and Israel intensifies, Iran’s new leadership is signalling a prolonged confrontation—one that combines conventional warfare with pressure on global energy flows and supply chains.

Tariffs Are the Noise. Realignment Is the Signal
·Global Trade and Geoeconomics

Tariffs Are the Noise. Realignment Is the Signal

Even if Trump’s tariffs disappear, the forces reshaping global trade—geopolitics, security concerns and reconfigured regional blocs—are here to stay